CME Scoreboard

Prediction for CME (2019-03-08T04:17:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-03-08T03:19Z 
CME Arrival Time: ----- 
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ----- 

Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-03-11T13:00Z 
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) 
Prediction Method Note:
Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2019-03-08T11:21Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 462
Longitude (deg): W03
Latitude (deg): N09
Half-angular width (deg): 37 

Notes: Low confidence in timing due to data gaps in STEREO-A imagery.
Space weather advisor: Richard Stone

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

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